Diver

回复 54# Diver


    Released On 8/23/2012 10:00:00 AM For Jul, 2012  
Prior Prior Revised Consensus Consensus Range Actual
New Home Sales - Level - SAAR 350 K 359 K 362 K 340 K to 400 K 372 K

数据真的不错。

但是MM在数据公布前突袭破昨天低点，可见空头完全控盘了！目前数据已不重要了，跟着TA走。

那么，今天牛牛很难翻身了。

Diver

刚才SPX打到了下跌通道的下轨，在1404附近，现在反弹。如果MM再临门一脚，破这个通道下轨，那就会到1400，是更陡的通道下轨，在那里也会反弹。

Diver

刚才SPX打到了下跌通道的下轨，在1404附近，现在反弹。如果MM再临门一脚，破这个通道下轨，那就会到1400，是 ...
Diver 发表于 2012-8-23 10:30

    我昨晚手工画了一张路径图，没来得及扫描上传给大家参考。等会儿有空的话，我用电脑再画一遍，发出来。

Diver

我昨晚手工画了一张路径图，没来得及扫描上传给大家参考。等会儿有空的话，我用电脑再画一遍，发 ...
Diver 发表于 2012-8-23 10:35

    有效跌破第一个通道下轨意义重大：因为那意味着分时图上已经确立了头肩顶！

Diver

回复  Diver

今天低点过了？
aimei 发表于 2012-8-23 10:29

    刚才跌破了分时图上的上升通道下轨，现在回测那个上升通道下轨。

我估计上不去，成阻力了。再次下测刚才的第一个下跌通道下轨，会破，冲到第二个下跌通道的下轨，再反弹。

Diver

大家注意了，今天在SPX1400是双重支撑，支持很强，今天不会破下去。即使破下去，今天也不会有效跌破。

Diver

现在给大家报告一下：
17分钟前出现如下强烈买入信号：
DIA，SPY，IWM，IVV，RSP。。。

Diver

我先去忙，等一会儿更新几篇日志。

你们大家继续讨论。

Diver

还是不要太熊了，AAPL，GOOG要绿了。。。
tfmegatron 发表于 2012-8-23 10:50

    那两个今天不太可能涨上去了。

Diver

九月份的jackson hole 会议，很难看
not4weak 发表于 2012-8-23 11:44

支持。

这一次的会议会把美股带到尼亚加拉！

Diver

俺回来啦。更新了几篇日志。

Diver

TA上，跌破1404应该是大概率事件了
cellphone 发表于 2012-8-23 12:53

    WOW，日内新低了！

Diver

俺现在加把劲，大家一起努力，每天灌水大楼创新高度！

Diver

The doves have been set loose and easing hopes have returned to the fore. The first of such hints attended yesterday’s release of the latest Fed FOMC meeting minutes that revealed Fed members more inclined than expected to meet adverse economic data with more accommodative actions, and then this morning as China’s weak manufacturing PMI post encouraged speculation that Beijing will soon lower banks’ reserve requirements, and later that the ECB may find greater encouragement from eurozone politicians to help resolve the region’s sovereign debt woes after today’s post showed economic activity contracted for the seventh month straight, including core nations, France and Germany.

Diver

Yesterday’s bout of profit-taking had taken the DJIA 83 points lower during the session before the afternoon’s FOMC minutes showed “many members judged that additional monetary accommodation would likely be implemented fairly soon,” a much more accommodative stance than the neutral tone anticipated, but still confusing, because the report reflects data already three weeks old. Since that time the macro posts have been surprisingly strong: a 0.8% jump in July retail sales, the first rise in four month; a greater-than-expected, 0.6% increase in industrial production; the addition of 163K new jobs in July, the most in five months; and a budding recovery in the housing sector, including yesterday’s print of a 2.3% rebound in July existing home sales. Uncertainty over the current direction of Fed intentions was not eliminated by yesterday’s release, instead heightening the significance of the Fed’s Jackson Hole monetary conference at month’s end, where Fed Chairman Bernanke has previously hinted at accommodation plans.